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Recent news and insights from the team at Arlington Financial Advisors.
The State of the Economy, the State of the Markets
October 27, 2022
October 2022 By Arthur Swalley, CIMA® Partner Few times in recent history have presented such a dramatic difference between the real economy and the behavior of markets. Let’s examine the data to figure out if the widely predicted (and in some quarters, declared) recession is actually here.September economic reports show that on the job front,…
CONGRATULATIONS CODY MAKELA, CFP®
October 6, 2022
A round of applause to Cody Makela, CFP®, partner, for being chosen and profiled by Pacific Coast Business Times as an up-and-coming business leader in this year’s “40 Under 40.” A ninth generation Santa Barbara resident, born and raised, whose family history dates back to the founding of the city, Cody joined Arlington Financial Advisors…
Bear Market Update
July 8, 2022
June 2022 By Arthur Swalley, CIMA® Partner In April, we wrote about Short-Term Volatility vs. Long-Term Opportunity. Since that writing, we have certainly experienced the short-term volatility, with the S&P 500 index entering a bear market – down over -20% from its peak. What investors think of as safe havens were not, with the Barclay’s…
Short Term Risk, Long Term Opportunity
May 9, 2022
April 2022 By Arthur Swalley, CIMA® Partner The first quarter of 2022 brought seemingly every major category of investment and headline risk to the forefront. Global stock and bond markets were challenged with interest rate risk, stock valuation risk, and inflation risk, with a topping of geopolitical risk (a European land war) adding to the…
Investment Commentary Q1 2022 Why Does Diversification Work?
February 2, 2022
Arthur G. Swalley, CIMA® – Director of Investments Why Does Diversification Work? The past two years in the capital markets are a textbook example of how diversification works. Being thoughtfully distributed among multiple asset classes has brought strong returns, without suffering the extreme volatility of each of those independently fluctuating asset classes. More importantly, why…
3rd Quarter Investment Commentary
November 10, 2021
“Transitory” Is A Dirty Word Arthur G. Swalley, CIMA® -Director of Investments After a mild July and August, stock market uncertainty ratcheted up in September as volatility rose. There was no “big event” trigger, but rather a series of smaller issues that came together to result in a 5% decline in the S&P 500 from…
Do you have a financial advisor?
August 30, 2021
I had lunch today with a younger acquaintance of mine, let’s call him Jim. I have known Jim for a number of years, and he has always impressed me with his business acumen. At a young age, he has managed to put together a sizable, yet illiquid, net worth. He has an investment account managed…
Cody Makela named partner at Santa Barbara advisory firm Arlington Financial Advisors
May 13, 2021
SANTA BARBARA, California – Arlington Financial Advisors, an independent financial advisory firm located in the heart of Santa Barbara, has named standout financial planner Cody Makela as partner. Makela joined Arlington Financial Advisors in February, 2015, and has excelled at helping clients plan, analyze and implement solutions that improve their financial lives. As partner, Makela…
Never a Dull Moment
February 8, 2021
2020 Fourth Quarter Investment Commentary By Arthur G. Swalley, CIMA®, Director of Investments Sharing a quarterly investment commentary has the advantage of being able to have some perspective on recent events, but the disadvantage of being overwhelmed by the sheer volume of them. Looking back over the end of 2020 and the first month of…
Up, Up and Away…
July 20, 2021
As the stock market continued its recovery from pandemic lows, the US economy started firing on all cylinders with a strong surge in consumer and business activity. The dynamics of the recovering economy, record levels of idle cash, and pent-up pandemic savings led to the Tuesday, July 6th Wall Street Journal front-page headline: “Individual Investors…
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